Mainz 05 II vs Saar Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
IDA
2 - 1
MAI
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
MAI
2 - 0
WIR
48%
23%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
HOM
0 - 1
MAI
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
MAI
0 - 0
MON
3%
12%
85%
|
41 | 82 | 41 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2001 |
MAI
3 - 0
WWO
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Saar Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SAA
2 - 4
ING
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
HAU
0 - 1
SAA
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
IDA
1 - 3
SAA
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
SAA
1 - 3
WIR
47%
23%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
HOM
2 - 0
SAA
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |