Mainz 05 II vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
47.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
KÖL
2 - 2
MAI
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
MAI
1 - 2
ARB
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
WWO
1 - 3
MAI
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAI
2 - 0
KOB
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
PFU
0 - 1
MAI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MSV
1 - 1
SGS
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SSV
3 - 1
MSV
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MSV
1 - 1
BYM
3%
10%
88%
|
65 | 98 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
MSV
0 - 2
HEI
33%
25%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MSV
0 - 1
PRE
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |