Mainz 05 II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BOC
2 - 1
MAI
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
MAI
0 - 1
KAI
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
S04
1 - 1
MAI
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
MAI
3 - 0
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BOR
4 - 1
MAI
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
DIE
0 - 2
ROT
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
PRE
1 - 1
DIE
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
DIE
1 - 1
WWO
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
CLO
1 - 3
DIE
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
DIE
2 - 0
EIN
47%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |