Mainz 05 II vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
WWO
0 - 1
MAI
22%
24%
53%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
MAI
0 - 0
PIR
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
HAL
0 - 1
MAI
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
MAI
1 - 1
TUS
63%
20%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
EBK
0 - 3
MAI
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
HOM
2 - 1
ING
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
SAA
1 - 3
HOM
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
HOM
0 - 1
IDA
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
WIR
1 - 1
HOM
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
HOM
0 - 2
HAU
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |