Mainz 05 II vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SSV
1 - 1
MAI
68%
19%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAI
0 - 0
VFR
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
NOT
2 - 1
MAI
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MAI
3 - 1
PFU
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SVS
0 - 2
MAI
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
VFR
3 - 0
AUG
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
AUG
1 - 2
PFU
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
AUG
1 - 1
DAR
54%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SPO
0 - 0
AUG
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
AUG
3 - 2
BAY
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |