Mainz 05 II vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
75.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
FEU
2 - 0
MAI
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 1
DAR
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SPO
4 - 0
MAI
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
MAI
0 - 3
BAY
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
VFR
3 - 2
MAI
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
RTV
2 - 2
LEV
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
LEV
5 - 0
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
LEV
2 - 1
HAN
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 0
LEV
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
ROS
1 - 1
LEV
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |