Mainvilliers vs USM Saran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+412%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
14º
14º
24
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainvilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
7 - 0
MAI
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
0 - 0
STG
13%
19%
68%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VTR
3 - 0
MAI
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 1
BAL
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | +5 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
6 - 0
MAI
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
ESA
31%
23%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 2
SAR
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
SML
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
IVR
5 - 0
SAR
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 4
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -2 |