Mainstay United vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
79.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainstay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAI
3 - 8
WAR
12%
19%
69%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 4
WOL
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AJA
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 1
AJA
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
AMA
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |