Maidenhead United vs Cray Valley PM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maidenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 3
MAI
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
WRE
0 - 1
MAI
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MAI
0 - 4
HAR
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
MAI
2 - 3
KIN
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SUT
3 - 0
MAI
61%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Cray Valley PM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
WHY
1 - 0
CRA
33%
22%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 0
AVE
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WHY
2 - 2
CRA
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 2
FAV
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 5
CRA
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |