Maidenhead United vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
67.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maidenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
YEO
3 - 1
MAI
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 2
OLD
30%
26%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 1
HAR
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 0
TAU
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 1
MAI
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
CRA
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 0
LIN
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
REA
4 - 1
CRA
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 5
STF
68%
19%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 4
AFC
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |