FCB Magpies vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
6º
5º
52
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCB Magpies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LRI
1 - 3
MAG
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
LIO
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
COL
0 - 4
MAG
23%
24%
54%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 2
MAG
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LRI
1 - 3
MAG
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
CEU
0 - 1
LRI
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
LRI
6 - 0
LIO
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 5
LRI
14%
19%
67%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |