FCB Magpies vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCB Magpies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
MAG
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MAG
3 - 1
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 3
LRI
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JOS
2 - 0
MAG
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
EUR
0 - 0
MAG
11%
19%
70%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SLR
2 - 1
DER
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
DRO
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 2
DER
39%
25%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 2
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
DER
2 - 0
GAL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |