CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Maghreb Fes vs Zamalek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maghreb Fes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAG
3 - 0
KAC
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 1
WYD
52%
28%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
DIF
2 - 0
MAG
43%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAG
3 - 0
HOR
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 1
MOG
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AFR
2 - 1
ZAM
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
AFR
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
YOU
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
YOU
1 - 1
ZAM
22%
22%
56%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ENP
2 - 1
ZAM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |