Maghreb Fes vs Wydad Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
10º
9º
3
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
3 | 10 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 8 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 8 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 8 |
5º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 8 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 7 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 7 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 7 |
9º
|
4% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 7 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 6 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 6 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 5 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 5 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 5 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
3.5% | 4% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
4.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maghreb Fes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 2
FAR
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 1
OLY
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SCC
0 - 2
MAG
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
HAS
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MOG
2 - 4
MAG
42%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wydad Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 1
WYD
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
WYD
1 - 0
MOG
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RCA
1 - 0
WYD
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
WYD
0 - 1
OLY
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
WYD
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |