Maghreb Fes vs UTS Rabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
10º
9º
4
4º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
3 | 10 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 8 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
|
2º
|
4 | 8 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 8 |
5º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 8 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 7 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 7 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 7 |
9º
|
4% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 7 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 6 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 6 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 5 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 5 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 5 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
3.5% | 16.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
4.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maghreb Fes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
WYD
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 2
FAR
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 1
OLY
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SCC
0 - 2
MAG
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
HAS
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UTS Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
UTS
2 - 2
FUR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
UTS
3 - 3
HAS
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 3
UTS
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
UTS
1 - 0
MOG
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SCC
0 - 2
UTS
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |