Maghreb Fes vs UTS Rabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
9º
6º
22
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 61 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 52 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 48 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 25 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
11% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maghreb Fes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
WYD
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 2
FAR
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 1
OLY
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SCC
0 - 2
MAG
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
HAS
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UTS Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
UTS
2 - 2
FUR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
UTS
3 - 3
HAS
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 3
UTS
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
UTS
1 - 0
MOG
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SCC
0 - 2
UTS
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |