Magesi vs Upington City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+427%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
7º
1º
44
2º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 1
NBM
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ORC
1 - 1
MAG
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 1
PCF
38%
24%
39%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 2
PRE
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 2
CST
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Upington City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VFA
0 - 2
UCF
76%
17%
8%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
UCF
3 - 1
JDR
18%
24%
58%
|
16 | 61 | 45 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 0
UCF
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
UCF
2 - 0
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
15 | 65 | 50 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PCR
1 - 1
UCF
79%
15%
7%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |