Magenta vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2006 |
NOK
0 - 1
MAG
11%
17%
72%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MAG
0 - 3
MAN
18%
20%
62%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
MAG
0 - 1
TAF
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2005 |
SYD
2 - 0
MAG
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2005 |
MAG
4 - 1
PIR
59%
20%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
AUC
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
5 - 0
TEA
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
WAI
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PVS
2 - 3
WAI
13%
18%
69%
|
69 | 7 | 62 | -1 |