Magenta vs Tupapa Maraerenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SOL
0 - 3
MAG
40%
23%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAG
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MAG
0 - 1
BOB
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LOS
1 - 1
MAG
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAG
1 - 1
WET
87%
10%
4%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Tupapa Maraerenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 15
AUC
4%
8%
88%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 10
SOL
30%
20%
50%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
2 - 1
PAG
58%
20%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
4 - 1
LOT
89%
7%
3%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
4 - 1
KIW
50%
21%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |