Magenta vs Lupe Ole Soaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MAG
4 - 1
BAC
57%
19%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAG
2 - 1
BEL
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AMD
4 - 1
MAG
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAG
1 - 2
HIE
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 3
MAG
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lupe Ole Soaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SOA
6 - 0
VEI
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 13
SOA
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +3 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TUP
1 - 0
SOA
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
3 - 0
SOA
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
SOA
3 - 4
MAD
14%
18%
69%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |