Magenta vs Pro Palazzolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
63.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
19º
19º
46
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
49 | 73 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
54 | 72 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 68 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 66 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 65 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 61 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 56 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 55 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 52 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 50 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 47 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 41 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 41 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 40 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 36 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
20º
|
18 | 35 |
18º
|
12% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 34 |
19º
|
28.5% | |
|
19º
|
20 | 32 |
20º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
42.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FAN
0 - 0
MAG
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
SON
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
CAS
21%
21%
57%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAG
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
CIL
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Palazzolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
VIG
0 - 0
PAL
18%
20%
62%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 1
VIG
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
PAL
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
PAL
6 - 2
CRE
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CIL
3 - 0
PAL
13%
17%
70%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | -3 |