Magdeburger SV vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
77.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ARB
0 - 2
HSV
28%
25%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BRE
5 - 2
ARB
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
ARB
1 - 2
WOL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ROS
1 - 1
ARB
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
ARB
0 - 2
S04
27%
26%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |