Europa League Last 16
Global 5-1
Magdeburg vs Fehérvár analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
FVF
2 - 3
MAG
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
DZG
2 - 2
MAG
31%
23%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
MAG
1 - 3
CHE
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
HAL
2 - 1
MAG
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
MAG
2 - 0
DZG
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
FHV
1 - 0
SSW
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
SSW
1 - 1
FHV
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
FHV
4 - 0
FEN
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
FEN
2 - 1
FHV
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
FHV
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |