Magdeburg vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
SGD
1 - 0
MAG
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MAG
2 - 0
HAM
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ENE
2 - 1
MAG
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MAG
1 - 1
WER
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MAG
2 - 0
WUP
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
VER
1 - 1
SGD
23%
27%
50%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
HAM
1 - 1
VER
51%
26%
24%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
VER
0 - 1
ENE
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
VER
0 - 3
WER
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
WUP
1 - 0
VER
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |