Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-1
Magdeburg vs Valur Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
LOK
3 - 1
MAG
39%
25%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
MAG
5 - 0
ZWI
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAG
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
FCU
2 - 1
MAG
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
MAG
3 - 1
BWA
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAG
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 0
IAA
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
KAA
0 - 0
VAL
26%
26%
49%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
VAL
4 - 2
BRE
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
THR
1 - 3
VAL
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |