Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Magdeburg vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
SCP
1 - 1
MAG
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
MAG
3 - 2
FVF
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
SGD
0 - 1
MAG
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
CZJ
1 - 2
MAG
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
MAG
0 - 0
LOK
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
BMA
1 - 1
SCP
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
SCP
1 - 1
MAG
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
SCP
3 - 5
SLB
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCP
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SCP
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |