Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-0
Magdeburg vs Spora Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.3%
12%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MAG
3 - 2
CZJ
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1965 |
LAS
2 - 1
MAG
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
MAG
0 - 1
ZWI
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1965 |
CHL
0 - 0
MAG
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
BFC
0 - 1
MAG
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spora Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAS
30%
21%
49%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
BAS
2 - 0
SPO
74%
14%
12%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
B19
9 - 2
SPO
46%
21%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
0 - 6
B19
73%
14%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
BVB
7 - 0
SPO
56%
19%
25%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |