Magdeburg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
SAC
3 - 0
MAG
25%
27%
49%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1997 |
MAG
2 - 0
FCU
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
SPB
2 - 5
MAG
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 7 | 64 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
MAG
2 - 0
FCW
82%
13%
6%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
MAG
5 - 0
TBD
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 15 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
ERF
4 - 4
BFC
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
SGD
4 - 1
ERF
49%
26%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1997 |
COT
3 - 1
ERF
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ERF
5 - 3
FCU
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
HZE
0 - 3
ERF
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |