Magdeburg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
MAG
5 - 1
FCU
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
SGD
1 - 0
MAG
59%
21%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
FHV
1 - 0
MAG
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
MAG
1 - 0
ZWI
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
MAG
5 - 0
FHV
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
BWA
1 - 1
ERF
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
ERF
2 - 1
BSG
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
LOK
1 - 1
ERF
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
ERF
2 - 1
ROS
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
ERF
1 - 0
CZJ
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |