Magdeburg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
MAG
0 - 0
BWA
41%
23%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
LOK
2 - 2
MAG
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
MAG
1 - 3
CZJ
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
SED
1 - 3
MAG
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
MAG
0 - 2
ABS
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 1
SAC
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
ERF
2 - 1
VOW
24%
24%
53%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ABS
1 - 2
ERF
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
LOK
5 - 3
ERF
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
ERF
0 - 3
ROS
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |