Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
Magdeburg vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 2
MAG
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAG
17%
20%
62%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
MAG
3 - 1
ROS
72%
17%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
CHL
1 - 2
MAG
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
MAG
0 - 1
CHE
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
NAC
4 - 0
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
MVV
1 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
NAC
2 - 3
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAG
17%
20%
62%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
PSV
7 - 1
NAC
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |