Champions League 1/16
Global 3-3
Magdeburg vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
COT
2 - 2
MAG
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
MFF
2 - 1
MAG
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
MAG
2 - 1
BFC
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
ZWI
1 - 0
MAG
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
MAG
3 - 1
ERF
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
GAI
2 - 0
MFF
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
AIK
1 - 2
MFF
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
MFF
2 - 1
MAG
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
MFF
2 - 0
ELF
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
HIF
0 - 2
MFF
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |