Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
10º
8º
14
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
11 | 65 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 62 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 62 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 58 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 56 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 49 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 45 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 44 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 43 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 31 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 28 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 27 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 27.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
MAG
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
OSN
3 - 4
MAG
27%
23%
51%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
0 - 4
MAG
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
S04
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OFC
2 - 1
MAG
9%
14%
77%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 0
S04
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EBT
1 - 2
KSC
18%
22%
61%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 2
ELV
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 5
KSC
5%
11%
84%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
F95
0 - 0
KSC
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |