Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Magdeburg vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
MAG
2 - 0
LOK
67%
19%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1977 |
ROS
1 - 1
MAG
26%
25%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1977 |
MAG
0 - 1
ERF
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
MAG
5 - 1
FCU
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
SGD
1 - 0
MAG
59%
21%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 0
USF
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1977 |
GEN
2 - 2
JUV
26%
26%
49%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
JUV
2 - 0
LAZ
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
JUV
3 - 0
SAM
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
ROM
3 - 1
JUV
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |