Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
4º
25
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SSV
0 - 1
MAG
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 2
MAG
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
ULM
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
MAG
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 3
HAN
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
ULM
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DAR
3 - 1
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
KOL
33%
23%
43%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
HEI
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KSC
1 - 3
HER
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |