Magdeburg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
DRE
2 - 2
MAG
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
MAG
0 - 0
CHE
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
KFC
0 - 2
MAG
51%
24%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
MAG
2 - 3
LUB
44%
23%
33%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
OSN
3 - 0
MAG
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
KÖL
3 - 1
VER
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BAY
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
WAT
1 - 1
KÖL
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ERZ
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |