Magdeburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
6º
31
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 56 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
S04
2 - 5
MAG
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
MAG
1 - 1
EBT
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ELV
2 - 5
MAG
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
MAG
3 - 1
DYN
34%
25%
42%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
HAN
0 - 3
MAG
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
FCN
1 - 0
DAR
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
S04
3 - 1
FCN
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 1
KSC
24%
23%
54%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 1
ING
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 0
EBT
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |