Magdeburg vs Dresden-Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
PLA
1 - 0
MAG
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MAG
4 - 1
HAL
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SVG
0 - 0
MAG
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MAG
5 - 0
DRE
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LOK
0 - 6
MAG
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dresden-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
DRE
2 - 0
OBE
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CZJ
2 - 0
DRE
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
DRE
0 - 3
PLA
30%
29%
41%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
HAL
3 - 2
DRE
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
DRE
0 - 0
DRE
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |