Europa League 1/16
Global 4-2
Magdeburg vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
MAG
2 - 1
BFC
65%
20%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
CZJ
5 - 3
MAG
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
BWA
0 - 4
MAG
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
CES
3 - 1
MAG
21%
25%
55%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
MAG
3 - 0
BSG
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
DZG
3 - 0
ASA
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
ASA
0 - 1
DZG
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
DZG
0 - 1
ACM
25%
23%
52%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
ACM
3 - 1
DZG
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
RAP
0 - 0
DZG
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |