Magdeburg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MAG
0 - 3
UNT
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
OSN
0 - 2
MAG
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAG
2 - 0
CZJ
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VFR
0 - 1
MAG
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
MAG
1 - 0
PAD
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EIN
2 - 2
BVB
12%
17%
71%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
APO
1 - 1
BVB
12%
18%
70%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BVB
2 - 3
RBL
71%
18%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AUG
1 - 2
BVB
8%
15%
78%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
BVB
1 - 3
RMA
25%
22%
54%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | -1 |