Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Magdeburg vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
ZWI
1 - 3
MAG
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
MAG
2 - 2
ERF
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
ROS
2 - 2
MAG
35%
27%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
MAG
1 - 0
CHL
72%
17%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
CHE
0 - 2
MAG
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
BER
1 - 2
LSO
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BVR
2 - 0
BER
57%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
AKA
0 - 2
BER
52%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1973 |
BER
3 - 3
CSK
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
FKM
1 - 1
BER
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |