Magdeburg vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
POS
0 - 0
MAG
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
DRE
0 - 3
MAG
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MAG
1 - 0
CZJ
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
MAG
1 - 0
OBE
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
FAD
2 - 3
MAG
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
AUE
2 - 3
OBE
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 1
HAL
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 2
DRE
26%
24%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
PLA
5 - 1
AUE
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SVG
1 - 1
AUE
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |