Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-2
Magdeburg vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
MAG
1 - 1
SGD
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
ZWI
2 - 1
MAG
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
MAG
3 - 1
CHE
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
ERF
2 - 1
MAG
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
MTK
1 - 1
MAG
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
LEX
1 - 0
ACA
24%
28%
49%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
ACA
3 - 3
VIT
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
KUO
0 - 1
ACA
30%
22%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |