Magdeburg vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
BSG
1 - 1
MAG
26%
27%
48%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
MAG
2 - 2
SGD
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
ERF
0 - 1
MAG
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
FVF
1 - 0
MAG
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1986 |
MAG
2 - 0
CHE
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
FCU
2 - 1
BIS
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
CZJ
3 - 1
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
LOK
2 - 2
FCU
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
FCU
0 - 0
BWA
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1986 |
BSV
1 - 2
FCU
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |