Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Magallanes vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 4
EVE
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 3
MAG
22%
22%
56%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 0
MAG
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 0
PAL
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 1
OHI
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 3
MAG
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 1
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 1
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |