Magallanes vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAG
2 - 2
USF
26%
28%
46%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DLS
3 - 2
MAG
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MAG
3 - 0
COQ
43%
26%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAG
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 1
DCO
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NTA
1 - 0
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
CUR
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |