Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Magallanes vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 1
DCO
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
COQ
2 - 1
MAG
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 1
ANT
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAG
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
PIN
0 - 4
MAG
29%
23%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ACS
5 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCH
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
IQU
4 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
DLS
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
OHI
2 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |