Magallanes vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
OHI
0 - 1
MAG
84%
11%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAG
1 - 4
ACS
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
MAG
1 - 1
CUR
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
CUR
1 - 0
MAG
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
ACS
2 - 2
MAG
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
COB
1 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
COB
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
ANT
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
IQU
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |