Magallanes vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 0
MAG
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAG
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 1
LOT
63%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
MAG
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAG
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
ANT
44%
25%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |