Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Magallanes vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
NUB
2 - 1
MAG
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
MAG
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
7 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
USF
0 - 0
MAG
12%
22%
67%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
ANT
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
NUB
2 - 1
MAG
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 0
NUB
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NUB
1 - 4
UCH
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
NUB
1 - 1
PUE
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
NUB
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |