Magallanes vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ACS
3 - 3
MAG
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
MAG
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 2
ACS
9%
15%
76%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 0
LOT
61%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 0
MAG
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COQ
5 - 0
NTA
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NTA
2 - 2
CUR
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
NTA
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |